Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy, who won a 2024 special election and secured 65 percent in the subsequent general, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a technology professional advancing unopposed, has focused on public safety and immigration but lacks comparable resources or name recognition in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,646 Vol.
$26,646 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
95%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
3%
$26,646 Vol.
$26,646 Vol.
2026/11/02
ティム・ケネディ（民主党）
$14,443 Vol.
95%
デニス・ハノン（共和党）
$12,203 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy, who won a 2024 special election and secured 65 percent in the subsequent general, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a technology professional advancing unopposed, has focused on public safety and immigration but lacks comparable resources or name recognition in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$26,646終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy, who won a 2024 special election and secured 65 percent in the subsequent general, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a technology professional advancing unopposed, has focused on public safety and immigration but lacks comparable resources or name recognition in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,646終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy holds a commanding lead in the NY-26 House race, reflecting the district’s D+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy, who won a 2024 special election and secured 65 percent in the subsequent general, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million. Republican nominee Dennis Hannon, a technology professional advancing unopposed, has focused on public safety and immigration but lacks comparable resources or name recognition in the Buffalo-Niagara Falls area. With the November 3 general election six weeks away, trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and partisan composition. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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