John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$66,868 Vol.
$66,868 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・マグワイア（共和党）
84%
トム・ペリオロ（民主党）
17%
$66,868 Vol.
$66,868 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・マグワイア（共和党）
$32,613 Vol.
84%
トム・ペリオロ（民主党）
$34,255 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$66,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$66,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...John McGuire secured the Republican nomination in the August 4 primary with 84 percent of the vote against a single challenger, while Tom Perriello captured the Democratic nomination with roughly 80 percent. The district’s Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins for Trump and McGuire in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the incumbent. Perriello’s stronger fundraising and a summer poll showing a near-toss-up have narrowed the gap somewhat, yet independent expenditures and the absence of major late shifts in voter sentiment have kept probabilities stable. McGuire’s refusal of debates and questions over stock transactions have drawn criticism without altering the race’s structural outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問