Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms stands as the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Traders link the outcome directly to the majority party’s ability to advance articles of impeachment, with recent Democratic statements from figures such as Rep. Jamie Raskin highlighting alleged abuses of power, including executive actions on federal funding and immigration enforcement. Past resolutions introduced by Rep. Al Green and broader calls tied to policy disputes have kept the topic active, though any House vote would occur only after the new Congress convenes in 2027. Historical patterns show such efforts typically pass on party lines but stall in the Senate, leaving removal improbable while still elevating the chance of formal proceedings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTrump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Trump sarà messo sotto accusa prima della fine del suo mandato?
Sì
69% probabilità
$102,071 Vol.
$102,071 Vol.
19 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
Sì
69% probabilità
$102,071 Vol.
$102,071 Vol.
19 gen 2029
Guadagna il 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms stands as the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Traders link the outcome directly to the majority party’s ability to advance articles of impeachment, with recent Democratic statements from figures such as Rep. Jamie Raskin highlighting alleged abuses of power, including executive actions on federal funding and immigration enforcement. Past resolutions introduced by Rep. Al Green and broader calls tied to policy disputes have kept the topic active, though any House vote would occur only after the new Congress convenes in 2027. Historical patterns show such efforts typically pass on party lines but stall in the Senate, leaving removal improbable while still elevating the chance of formal proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$102,071Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms stands as the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Traders link the outcome directly to the majority party’s ability to advance articles of impeachment, with recent Democratic statements from figures such as Rep. Jamie Raskin highlighting alleged abuses of power, including executive actions on federal funding and immigration enforcement. Past resolutions introduced by Rep. Al Green and broader calls tied to policy disputes have kept the topic active, though any House vote would occur only after the new Congress convenes in 2027. Historical patterns show such efforts typically pass on party lines but stall in the Senate, leaving removal improbable while still elevating the chance of formal proceedings.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$102,071Data di fine
20 gen 2029Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms stands as the central driver behind the 68.5% implied probability that President Trump faces impeachment before January 2029. Traders link the outcome directly to the majority party’s ability to advance articles of impeachment, with recent Democratic statements from figures such as Rep. Jamie Raskin highlighting alleged abuses of power, including executive actions on federal funding and immigration enforcement. Past resolutions introduced by Rep. Al Green and broader calls tied to policy disputes have kept the topic active, though any House vote would occur only after the new Congress convenes in 2027. Historical patterns show such efforts typically pass on party lines but stall in the Senate, leaving removal improbable while still elevating the chance of formal proceedings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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