Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKristi Noem messa sotto accusa nel 2026?
Kristi Noem messa sotto accusa nel 2026?
Sì
3% probabilità
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$22,389 Vol.
$22,389 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$22,389Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$22,389Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have blocked advancement of Democratic-led impeachment articles introduced in January 2026, which cited obstruction of oversight, public trust violations, and contracting issues tied to immigration enforcement. President Trump removed Noem from the Department of Homeland Security in March 2026, ending her eligibility for removal proceedings before any floor action. Trader consensus at 96.5% against impeachment in 2026 reflects these structural barriers and historical patterns where cabinet impeachments rarely succeed without bipartisan support. Late developments such as a return to federal office or renewed congressional majorities after the midterms remain the only plausible paths that could reopen the question before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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