Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with an 88 percent share against challenger Douglas Alexander, positioning him as the sole major-party candidate on the November 3 general election ballot for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District. The June filing deadline passed without any Republican entrant in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters and anchored by progressive Madison, where Pocan has posted consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Traders price this structural absence of opposition as the dominant factor behind the 97 percent consensus for Pocan, with only narrow room left for write-in or independent scenarios. A late withdrawal by Pocan or an unforeseen legal disqualification could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWI-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Partito Repubblicano
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Mark Pocan (D)
97%
Partito Repubblicano
<1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with an 88 percent share against challenger Douglas Alexander, positioning him as the sole major-party candidate on the November 3 general election ballot for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District. The June filing deadline passed without any Republican entrant in a district rated Solid Democratic by forecasters and anchored by progressive Madison, where Pocan has posted consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. Traders price this structural absence of opposition as the dominant factor behind the 97 percent consensus for Pocan, with only narrow room left for write-in or independent scenarios. A late withdrawal by Pocan or an unforeseen legal disqualification could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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