The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
31 dic 2026
Verdi
90%
SPD
89%
Linke
50%
CDU
28%
FW
4%
FDP
4%
BSW
3%
AfD
2%
$6,750 Vol.
Verdi
$242 Vol.
90%
SPD
$249 Vol.
89%
Linke
$2,227 Vol.
50%
CDU
$1,602 Vol.
28%
FW
$661 Vol.
4%
FDP
$210 Vol.
4%
BSW
$290 Vol.
3%
AfD
$1,269 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$6,750Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Volume
$6,750Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election drives current market focus, with late polls showing CDU, Die Linke, Greens, and AfD clustered in the 15–20% range and SPD trailing near 13%. The AfD firewall rules out its participation in any coalition, making two-party majorities unlikely and pointing instead to three-party arrangements such as red-red-green (SPD–Greens–Left) or Kenya (CDU–SPD–Greens). Incumbent CDU–SPD governing mayor Kai Wegner is not seeking re-election amid criticism over infrastructure and administrative issues. Voter priorities center on housing affordability, public safety, and urban maintenance. Coalition talks after the vote will determine the next senate composition, with recent eastern German state results adding context on broader party momentum but limited direct carryover to Berlin-specific negotiations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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