Recent Berlin state election results show the AfD increasing its vote share to roughly 16 percent from 9 percent in 2023, producing a projected seat total in the 29-31 range within the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. Pre-election polls had placed the party between 17 and 20 percent amid broader national gains, yet final tallies reflected a more moderate outcome consistent with the narrow band now commanding overwhelming trader consensus. Other parties, led by Die Linke, captured larger shares while maintaining the long-standing exclusion of the AfD from coalition talks. Late adjustments to the official count or minor shifts in turnout validation remain the primary variables that could alter the precise seat allocation before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato29-31 96.8%
35+ 1.7%
23-25 <1%
20-22 <1%
$99,856 Vol.
$99,856 Vol.
20 set 2026
<20
<1%
20-22
1%
23-25
1%
26-28
<1%
29-31
97%
32-34
1%
35+
2%
29-31 96.8%
35+ 1.7%
23-25 <1%
20-22 <1%
$99,856 Vol.
$99,856 Vol.
20 set 2026
<20
$4,678 Vol.
<1%
20-22
$8,820 Vol.
1%
23-25
$5,579 Vol.
1%
26-28
$17,040 Vol.
<1%
29-31
$9,209 Vol.
97%
32-34
$16,100 Vol.
1%
35+
$38,430 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin state election results show the AfD increasing its vote share to roughly 16 percent from 9 percent in 2023, producing a projected seat total in the 29-31 range within the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. Pre-election polls had placed the party between 17 and 20 percent amid broader national gains, yet final tallies reflected a more moderate outcome consistent with the narrow band now commanding overwhelming trader consensus. Other parties, led by Die Linke, captured larger shares while maintaining the long-standing exclusion of the AfD from coalition talks. Late adjustments to the official count or minor shifts in turnout validation remain the primary variables that could alter the precise seat allocation before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$99,856Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin state election results show the AfD increasing its vote share to roughly 16 percent from 9 percent in 2023, producing a projected seat total in the 29-31 range within the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. Pre-election polls had placed the party between 17 and 20 percent amid broader national gains, yet final tallies reflected a more moderate outcome consistent with the narrow band now commanding overwhelming trader consensus. Other parties, led by Die Linke, captured larger shares while maintaining the long-standing exclusion of the AfD from coalition talks. Late adjustments to the official count or minor shifts in turnout validation remain the primary variables that could alter the precise seat allocation before market resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$99,856Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Berlin state election results show the AfD increasing its vote share to roughly 16 percent from 9 percent in 2023, producing a projected seat total in the 29-31 range within the 130-seat Abgeordnetenhaus. Pre-election polls had placed the party between 17 and 20 percent amid broader national gains, yet final tallies reflected a more moderate outcome consistent with the narrow band now commanding overwhelming trader consensus. Other parties, led by Die Linke, captured larger shares while maintaining the long-standing exclusion of the AfD from coalition talks. Late adjustments to the official count or minor shifts in turnout validation remain the primary variables that could alter the precise seat allocation before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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