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Politica·Elezioni Principali

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Politica·Elezioni Principali

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 52%

Stefan Evers 27%

Werner Graf 10.7%

Steffen Krach 3.9%

Polymarket

$106,658 Vol.

Elif Eralp 52%

Stefan Evers 27%

Werner Graf 10.7%

Steffen Krach 3.9%

Polymarket

$106,658 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$56,790 Vol.

52%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$31,094 Vol.

27%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$13,361 Vol.

11%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$2,688 Vol.

4%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,725 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,658
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election remains highly competitive, with recent polling showing Die Linke under Elif Eralp and the CDU under Stefan Evers running nearly neck-and-neck for the largest share of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus. Traders assign Eralp the highest implied probability of becoming the next Governing Mayor, reflecting her party's momentum and potential to lead a left-leaning coalition, while Evers trails amid the CDU's need for partners after incumbent Kai Wegner's withdrawal earlier in the summer. Werner Graf of the Greens and Steffen Krach of the SPD register lower odds, consistent with their parties' positioning in surveys. The outcome hinges on final vote shares and post-election coalition talks, with any late shifts in turnout or alliances capable of altering the result before the new senate is formed.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$106,658
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for I Verdi saranno nel prossimo governo statale di Berlino?

I Verdi saranno nel prossimo governo statale di Berlino?

90%
Sì
icon for Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

Linke vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni statali di Berlino del 2026?

53%
Sì
icon for Elezioni statali di Berlino: CDU sopra/sotto il 20%?

Elezioni statali di Berlino: CDU sopra/sotto il 20%?

31%
Sopra

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elif Eralp" a 52%, seguito da "Stefan Evers" a 27%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 52¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ha generato $106.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è "Elif Eralp" a 52%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 52% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stefan Evers" a 27%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.