Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-37%, followed by SPD at 28-32% after recent gains, with Die Linke stable at 11%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place, as CDU trails at 8-10% and smaller parties like Grüne and BSW hover near or below the 5% threshold. The SPD's upward movement in late August surveys has narrowed the top gap without altering the expected mid-table order, while CDU weakness sustains the barrier to higher placements for other contenders. With the vote just days away, final turnout and threshold crossings remain the main variables that could shift third-place probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLinke 75%
CDU 25%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$55,637 Vol.
$55,637 Vol.
19 set 2026
Linke
75%
CDU
25%
AfD
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
SPD
<1%
FDP
<1%
Linke 75%
CDU 25%
AfD <1%
Grüne <1%
$55,637 Vol.
$55,637 Vol.
19 set 2026
Linke
$30,176 Vol.
75%
CDU
$13,822 Vol.
25%
AfD
$2,054 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$2,017 Vol.
<1%
FW
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
SPD
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$1,876 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-37%, followed by SPD at 28-32% after recent gains, with Die Linke stable at 11%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place, as CDU trails at 8-10% and smaller parties like Grüne and BSW hover near or below the 5% threshold. The SPD's upward movement in late August surveys has narrowed the top gap without altering the expected mid-table order, while CDU weakness sustains the barrier to higher placements for other contenders. With the vote just days away, final turnout and threshold crossings remain the main variables that could shift third-place probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$55,637Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-37%, followed by SPD at 28-32% after recent gains, with Die Linke stable at 11%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place, as CDU trails at 8-10% and smaller parties like Grüne and BSW hover near or below the 5% threshold. The SPD's upward movement in late August surveys has narrowed the top gap without altering the expected mid-table order, while CDU weakness sustains the barrier to higher placements for other contenders. With the vote just days away, final turnout and threshold crossings remain the main variables that could shift third-place probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$55,637Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show AfD leading at 35-37%, followed by SPD at 28-32% after recent gains, with Die Linke stable at 11%. This positioning underpins trader consensus favoring Linke for third place, as CDU trails at 8-10% and smaller parties like Grüne and BSW hover near or below the 5% threshold. The SPD's upward movement in late August surveys has narrowed the top gap without altering the expected mid-table order, while CDU weakness sustains the barrier to higher placements for other contenders. With the vote just days away, final turnout and threshold crossings remain the main variables that could shift third-place probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
L'SPD vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?
79%
Sì
AfD vincerà il maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del 2026 in Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore?
78%
Sì
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
80%
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti