Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 37%
39,0–39,4 13%
37,5–37,9 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
<37,5
5%
37,5–37,9
12%
38,0–38,4
38%
38,5–38,9
37%
39,0–39,4
13%
39,5+
8%
38,0–38,4 38%
38,5–38,9 37%
39,0–39,4 13%
37,5–37,9 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
<37,5
$35 Vol.
5%
37,5–37,9
$55 Vol.
12%
38,0–38,4
$217 Vol.
38%
38,5–38,9
$136 Vol.
37%
39,0–39,4
$510 Vol.
13%
39,5+
$35 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Volume
$988Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 25, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$988Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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