Moonshot AI's surge in agentic capabilities, anchored by the July 2026 release of Kimi K3 with its 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and strong results on benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld, and BrowseComp, has driven the 86.8% implied probability that it ranks as the third-best AI agent lab by end of September. Subsequent September updates—including a finance-specific Kimi deployment integrating direct data feeds and a multimodal K2.8 preview—have reinforced enterprise traction and revenue momentum exceeding $1 billion annualized. Traders view these verified releases and open-weight availability as distinguishing factors against lower-odds contenders like Z.ai or Google, whose agent-focused updates have not matched the same recent cadence or independent evaluations. Market consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of Moonshot's positioning relative to frontier labs ahead of the tight resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTerzo miglior AI Agent Lab alla fine di settembre?
Terzo miglior AI Agent Lab alla fine di settembre?
Moonshot 86.8%
Z.ai 5.4%
Google 3.4%
DeepSeek 2.9%
$54,209 Vol.
$54,209 Vol.
30 set 2026
Moonshot
87%
Z.ai
5%
3%
DeepSeek
3%
Mistral
3%
SpaceXAI
3%
Meta
3%
Anthropic
3%
Alibaba
2%
OpenAI
2%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Moonshot 86.8%
Z.ai 5.4%
Google 3.4%
DeepSeek 2.9%
$54,209 Vol.
$54,209 Vol.
30 set 2026
Moonshot
$34,603 Vol.
87%
Z.ai
$2,812 Vol.
5%
$482 Vol.
3%
DeepSeek
$471 Vol.
3%
Mistral
$610 Vol.
3%
SpaceXAI
$584 Vol.
3%
Meta
$409 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$2,459 Vol.
3%
Alibaba
$1,087 Vol.
2%
OpenAI
$7,320 Vol.
2%
Amazon
$414 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$470 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$388 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$609 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$373 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$393 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$408 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's surge in agentic capabilities, anchored by the July 2026 release of Kimi K3 with its 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and strong results on benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld, and BrowseComp, has driven the 86.8% implied probability that it ranks as the third-best AI agent lab by end of September. Subsequent September updates—including a finance-specific Kimi deployment integrating direct data feeds and a multimodal K2.8 preview—have reinforced enterprise traction and revenue momentum exceeding $1 billion annualized. Traders view these verified releases and open-weight availability as distinguishing factors against lower-odds contenders like Z.ai or Google, whose agent-focused updates have not matched the same recent cadence or independent evaluations. Market consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of Moonshot's positioning relative to frontier labs ahead of the tight resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Volume
$54,209Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI's surge in agentic capabilities, anchored by the July 2026 release of Kimi K3 with its 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and strong results on benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld, and BrowseComp, has driven the 86.8% implied probability that it ranks as the third-best AI agent lab by end of September. Subsequent September updates—including a finance-specific Kimi deployment integrating direct data feeds and a multimodal K2.8 preview—have reinforced enterprise traction and revenue momentum exceeding $1 billion annualized. Traders view these verified releases and open-weight availability as distinguishing factors against lower-odds contenders like Z.ai or Google, whose agent-focused updates have not matched the same recent cadence or independent evaluations. Market consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of Moonshot's positioning relative to frontier labs ahead of the tight resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$54,209Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:40 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Moonshot AI's surge in agentic capabilities, anchored by the July 2026 release of Kimi K3 with its 2.8-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and strong results on benchmarks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld, and BrowseComp, has driven the 86.8% implied probability that it ranks as the third-best AI agent lab by end of September. Subsequent September updates—including a finance-specific Kimi deployment integrating direct data feeds and a multimodal K2.8 preview—have reinforced enterprise traction and revenue momentum exceeding $1 billion annualized. Traders view these verified releases and open-weight availability as distinguishing factors against lower-odds contenders like Z.ai or Google, whose agent-focused updates have not matched the same recent cadence or independent evaluations. Market consensus reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of Moonshot's positioning relative to frontier labs ahead of the tight resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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