Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing and October Nasdaq listing target have centered trader attention on its $2 trillion IPO valuation ambitions, with pre-IPO perpetual futures on Hyperliquid recently implying $2.15–2.36 trillion market caps. Explosive revenue growth—run-rate rising from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July—combined with reported adjusted operating profits and major cloud commitments from Amazon underpin the 25.5% and 23.2% market-implied odds on the $2.25–2.5 trillion and $2.0–2.25 trillion buckets. The closely matched probabilities around these ranges reflect uncertainty over final pricing multiples near 30x revenue, upcoming S-1 disclosures, and roadshow execution amid broader AI sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$2.0–$2.25T 26.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 25%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$765,863 Vol.
$765,863 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
27%
$2.25–$2.5T
25%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$2.0–$2.25T 26.7%
$2.25–$2.5T 25%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.5–$2.75T 14.2%
$765,863 Vol.
$765,863 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
3%
$1.5–$1.75T
9%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
27%
$2.25–$2.5T
25%
$2.5–$2.75T
14%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
3%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing and October Nasdaq listing target have centered trader attention on its $2 trillion IPO valuation ambitions, with pre-IPO perpetual futures on Hyperliquid recently implying $2.15–2.36 trillion market caps. Explosive revenue growth—run-rate rising from $47 billion in May to $65 billion by July—combined with reported adjusted operating profits and major cloud commitments from Amazon underpin the 25.5% and 23.2% market-implied odds on the $2.25–2.5 trillion and $2.0–2.25 trillion buckets. The closely matched probabilities around these ranges reflect uncertainty over final pricing multiples near 30x revenue, upcoming S-1 disclosures, and roadshow execution amid broader AI sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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