OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% implied probability, delivering up to 50% lower latency, sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and new Sketch and template tools that outperform prior versions on leaderboards such as LMArena. Traders see these confirmed gains in prompt adherence, subject consistency, and developer API variants (Flare and Sunburst) as likely to sustain leadership through November, despite competitive pressure from models like Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image updates, and specialized entrants from Reve and Recraft. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on OpenAI’s current edge in overall text-to-image capability rather than any single benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Image alla fine di novembre?
Quale azienda ha la migliore IA Text-to-Image alla fine di novembre?
OpenAI 81%
Google 4.0%
Recraft 3.6%
Reve 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
OpenAI
81%
4%
Recraft
4%
Reve
4%
Alibaba
4%
Ideogram
4%
Tencent
3%
ByteDance
3%
Microsoft AI
3%
Meta
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Luma AI
1%
Black Forest Labs
1%
OpenAI 81%
Google 4.0%
Recraft 3.6%
Reve 3.6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
OpenAI
$1,853 Vol.
81%
$106 Vol.
4%
Recraft
$93 Vol.
4%
Reve
$138 Vol.
4%
Alibaba
$114 Vol.
4%
Ideogram
$106 Vol.
4%
Tencent
$468 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$269 Vol.
3%
Microsoft AI
$146 Vol.
3%
Meta
$108 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$302 Vol.
1%
Luma AI
$106 Vol.
1%
Black Forest Labs
$106 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% implied probability, delivering up to 50% lower latency, sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and new Sketch and template tools that outperform prior versions on leaderboards such as LMArena. Traders see these confirmed gains in prompt adherence, subject consistency, and developer API variants (Flare and Sunburst) as likely to sustain leadership through November, despite competitive pressure from models like Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image updates, and specialized entrants from Reve and Recraft. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on OpenAI’s current edge in overall text-to-image capability rather than any single benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$3,917Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% implied probability, delivering up to 50% lower latency, sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and new Sketch and template tools that outperform prior versions on leaderboards such as LMArena. Traders see these confirmed gains in prompt adherence, subject consistency, and developer API variants (Flare and Sunburst) as likely to sustain leadership through November, despite competitive pressure from models like Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image updates, and specialized entrants from Reve and Recraft. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on OpenAI’s current edge in overall text-to-image capability rather than any single benchmark.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,917Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5 has driven its dominant 80.5% implied probability, delivering up to 50% lower latency, sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and new Sketch and template tools that outperform prior versions on leaderboards such as LMArena. Traders see these confirmed gains in prompt adherence, subject consistency, and developer API variants (Flare and Sunburst) as likely to sustain leadership through November, despite competitive pressure from models like Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image updates, and specialized entrants from Reve and Recraft. Market odds reflect real-capital consensus on OpenAI’s current edge in overall text-to-image capability rather than any single benchmark.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
OpenAI avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di immagini da testo alla fine di ottobre 2026?
92%
Sì
Google avrà la migliore IA Text-to-Video alla fine di novembre 2026?
46%
Sì
Google avrà la migliore intelligenza artificiale per la generazione di video da testo alla fine di ottobre 2026?
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