Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model drive the market's strong consensus around no release by September 30. Announced at I/O 2026 for a June rollout, the model has slipped repeatedly through partner testing amid internal performance shortfalls, with the DeepMind site still listing it as "coming soon" as of mid-September. Frequent Flash variant launches, including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September, alongside confirmed training on the more ambitious Gemini 4, signal Google's conservative pacing for flagship Pro releases. Traders weigh this history of timeline slips, rival model activity, and lack of imminent catalysts against any surprise September announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato il...?
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 83%
23 settembre 5.0%
22 settembre 4.4%
30 settembre 3.9%
$88,603 Vol.
$88,603 Vol.
12 set 2026
12 settembre
1%
13 settembre
1%
14 settembre
<1%
15 settembre
2%
16 settembre
2%
17 settembre
2%
18 settembre
<1%
19 settembre
1%
20 settembre
1%
21 settembre
2%
22 settembre
4%
23 settembre
5%
24 settembre
4%
25 settembre
1%
26 settembre
1%
27 settembre
1%
28 settembre
3%
29 settembre
3%
30 settembre
4%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
83%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre 83%
23 settembre 5.0%
22 settembre 4.4%
30 settembre 3.9%
$88,603 Vol.
$88,603 Vol.
12 set 2026
12 settembre
$307 Vol.
1%
13 settembre
$336 Vol.
1%
14 settembre
$409 Vol.
<1%
15 settembre
$547 Vol.
2%
16 settembre
$543 Vol.
2%
17 settembre
$547 Vol.
2%
18 settembre
$310 Vol.
<1%
19 settembre
$307 Vol.
1%
20 settembre
$307 Vol.
1%
21 settembre
$537 Vol.
2%
22 settembre
$584 Vol.
4%
23 settembre
$464 Vol.
5%
24 settembre
$594 Vol.
4%
25 settembre
$303 Vol.
1%
26 settembre
$305 Vol.
1%
27 settembre
$307 Vol.
1%
28 settembre
$485 Vol.
3%
29 settembre
$375 Vol.
3%
30 settembre
$823 Vol.
4%
Nessun rilascio entro il 30 settembre
$74,110 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model drive the market's strong consensus around no release by September 30. Announced at I/O 2026 for a June rollout, the model has slipped repeatedly through partner testing amid internal performance shortfalls, with the DeepMind site still listing it as "coming soon" as of mid-September. Frequent Flash variant launches, including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September, alongside confirmed training on the more ambitious Gemini 4, signal Google's conservative pacing for flagship Pro releases. Traders weigh this history of timeline slips, rival model activity, and lack of imminent catalysts against any surprise September announcement.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$88,603Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model drive the market's strong consensus around no release by September 30. Announced at I/O 2026 for a June rollout, the model has slipped repeatedly through partner testing amid internal performance shortfalls, with the DeepMind site still listing it as "coming soon" as of mid-September. Frequent Flash variant launches, including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September, alongside confirmed training on the more ambitious Gemini 4, signal Google's conservative pacing for flagship Pro releases. Traders weigh this history of timeline slips, rival model activity, and lack of imminent catalysts against any surprise September announcement.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$88,603Data di fine
1 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Google's ongoing delays with the Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier large language model drive the market's strong consensus around no release by September 30. Announced at I/O 2026 for a June rollout, the model has slipped repeatedly through partner testing amid internal performance shortfalls, with the DeepMind site still listing it as "coming soon" as of mid-September. Frequent Flash variant launches, including Gemini 3.8 Flash in early September, alongside confirmed training on the more ambitious Gemini 4, signal Google's conservative pacing for flagship Pro releases. Traders weigh this history of timeline slips, rival model activity, and lack of imminent catalysts against any surprise September announcement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti