Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGli Stati Uniti emanano una legge sulla sicurezza dell'IA prima del 2027?
Gli Stati Uniti emanano una legge sulla sicurezza dell'IA prima del 2027?
Sì
19% probabilità
$103,265 Vol.
$103,265 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
19% probabilità
$103,265 Vol.
$103,265 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$103,265Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$103,265Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Bipartisan Senate negotiations led by Majority Leader John Thune, Ted Cruz, and Amy Klobuchar have advanced a draft imposing a legal duty of care on frontier AI developers, with provisions for safety testing, incident reporting, and potential government blocks on high-risk model releases. Recent disclosures from Anthropic and public warnings from former researchers accelerated talks in early September 2026, yet disagreements persist over mandatory versus voluntary testing standards, including opposition from Sen. Maria Cantwell. The House has advanced narrower measures like the Great American AI Act and committee-reported bills on labeling and NIST safety centers, but none have reached the floor. With midterms on November 3 and a compressed legislative calendar, plus ongoing debates over state preemption and enforcement scope, enactment of qualifying federal AI safety legislation remains stalled through the end of 2026.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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