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icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas

Omar Aziz 53%

Professoressa Maria do Carmo 29%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,532 Vol.

Omar Aziz 53%

Professoressa Maria do Carmo 29%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.0%

Polymarket

$25,532 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$8,882 Vol.

53%

icon for Professoressa Maria do Carmo

Professoressa Maria do Carmo

$5,391 Vol.

31%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$4,178 Vol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$1,851 Vol.

1%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,543 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$1,911 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,776 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,532
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,532
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Omar Aziz" a 53%, seguito da "Professoressa Maria do Carmo" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 53¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 53% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" ha generato $25.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" è "Omar Aziz" a 53%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 53% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Professoressa Maria do Carmo" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni per il Governatore di Amazonas" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.