Carlos Torres Piña leads Morena’s internal preferences at 36.6% in trader pricing, ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco, while Grecia Quiroz holds notable support as an independent amid ongoing security challenges that rank as voters’ top concern. Recent July 2026 surveys show Morena retaining a party-level edge of roughly 20–26 points over the PAN, yet head-to-head matchups narrow sharply once Quiroz enters, reflecting her visibility tied to local issues and the state’s violence trends. High undecided shares and fragmented opposition options, including PAN and PRI figures, sustain the tight distribution across contenders. Primary nomination steps and any shifts in independent alliances before the June 2027 vote remain the main near-term variables that could widen gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCarlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 31.6%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$46,020 Vol.
$46,020 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
29%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
Carlos Torres Piña 36.6%
Raúl Morón Orozco 31.6%
Grecia Quiroz 17.1%
Gladyz Butanda Macías 13.9%
$46,020 Vol.
$46,020 Vol.
Carlos Torres Piña
37%
Raúl Morón Orozco
29%
Grecia Quiroz
17%
Gladyz Butanda Macías
14%
Carlos Herrera Tello
4%
Fabiola Alanís Sámano
2%
Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza
1%
Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna
<1%
Esteban González Nava
<1%
Alfonso Martínez Alcázar
<1%
Guillermo Valencia Reyes
<1%
Gabriela Molina Aguilar
<1%
Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz
<1%
Germán Martínez Cázares
<1%
Daniela de los Santos
<1%
Edna Martínez Nambo
<1%
Víctor Manuel Manríquez
<1%
Adriana Hernández Íñiguez
<1%
Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes
<1%
Marko Cortés Mendoza
<1%
Celeste Ascencio Ortega
<1%
Ernesto Núñez Aguilar
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Carlos Torres Piña leads Morena’s internal preferences at 36.6% in trader pricing, ahead of Raúl Morón Orozco, while Grecia Quiroz holds notable support as an independent amid ongoing security challenges that rank as voters’ top concern. Recent July 2026 surveys show Morena retaining a party-level edge of roughly 20–26 points over the PAN, yet head-to-head matchups narrow sharply once Quiroz enters, reflecting her visibility tied to local issues and the state’s violence trends. High undecided shares and fragmented opposition options, including PAN and PRI figures, sustain the tight distribution across contenders. Primary nomination steps and any shifts in independent alliances before the June 2027 vote remain the main near-term variables that could widen gaps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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