Esthela Damián Peralta leads trader consensus for the Guerrero governorship at 70.9% amid Morena’s dominant position ahead of the 2027 election. Recent internal preference surveys show her edging Beatriz Mojica Morga by roughly four points, reflecting Damián’s federal profile as former legal counsel to President Claudia Sheinbaum and her emphasis on social programs and security. Mojica, a senator with license and local organizer, retains a solid base at 29.3% but trails in the latest monthly tracking. The crowded field of more than 15 Morena aspirants who registered in June has consolidated around these two, with all other listed contenders below 1%. Traders price the outcome as the near-certain Morena nominee prevailing in the general election, consistent with the party’s statewide polling advantage and the state’s electoral history.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEsthela Damián Peralta 71.0%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 29.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.0%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
29%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Esthela Damián Peralta 71.0%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 29.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 1.0%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros <1%
$52,059 Vol.
$52,059 Vol.
Esthela Damián Peralta
71%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
29%
Mario Moreno Arcos
1%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
1%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
<1%
Manuel Añorve Baños
<1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
<1%
Julián López Galeana
<1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
<1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
<1%
Alberto López Rosas
<1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercato aperto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esthela Damián Peralta leads trader consensus for the Guerrero governorship at 70.9% amid Morena’s dominant position ahead of the 2027 election. Recent internal preference surveys show her edging Beatriz Mojica Morga by roughly four points, reflecting Damián’s federal profile as former legal counsel to President Claudia Sheinbaum and her emphasis on social programs and security. Mojica, a senator with license and local organizer, retains a solid base at 29.3% but trails in the latest monthly tracking. The crowded field of more than 15 Morena aspirants who registered in June has consolidated around these two, with all other listed contenders below 1%. Traders price the outcome as the near-certain Morena nominee prevailing in the general election, consistent with the party’s statewide polling advantage and the state’s electoral history.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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