Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds as the main driver keeping Munich’s minimum temperature near 11–12 °C on 13 September. Persistent moisture from earlier showers has limited clear-sky cooling, yet modest advection of cooler air and high humidity have supported the market’s heavy weighting toward an 11 °C low. Updated model runs showing slightly drier conditions overnight have reinforced trader consensus around this level while capping odds for sub-10 °C outcomes. Historical September minima in Munich typically range 9–13 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Monaco di Baviera il 13 settembre?
11°C 100%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,382 Vol.
$1,382 Vol.
13 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Sì
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C o superiore
No
11°C 100%
7°C o inferiore <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,382 Vol.
$1,382 Vol.
13 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
No
8°C
$126 Vol.
No
9°C
$108 Vol.
No
10°C
$165 Vol.
No
11°C
$667 Vol.
Sì
12°C
$118 Vol.
No
13°C
$32 Vol.
No
14°C
$15 Vol.
No
15°C
$15 Vol.
No
16°C
$122 Vol.
No
17°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds as the main driver keeping Munich’s minimum temperature near 11–12 °C on 13 September. Persistent moisture from earlier showers has limited clear-sky cooling, yet modest advection of cooler air and high humidity have supported the market’s heavy weighting toward an 11 °C low. Updated model runs showing slightly drier conditions overnight have reinforced trader consensus around this level while capping odds for sub-10 °C outcomes. Historical September minima in Munich typically range 9–13 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,382Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds as the main driver keeping Munich’s minimum temperature near 11–12 °C on 13 September. Persistent moisture from earlier showers has limited clear-sky cooling, yet modest advection of cooler air and high humidity have supported the market’s heavy weighting toward an 11 °C low. Updated model runs showing slightly drier conditions overnight have reinforced trader consensus around this level while capping odds for sub-10 °C outcomes. Historical September minima in Munich typically range 9–13 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,382Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the DWD and ECMWF points to overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds as the main driver keeping Munich’s minimum temperature near 11–12 °C on 13 September. Persistent moisture from earlier showers has limited clear-sky cooling, yet modest advection of cooler air and high humidity have supported the market’s heavy weighting toward an 11 °C low. Updated model runs showing slightly drier conditions overnight have reinforced trader consensus around this level while capping odds for sub-10 °C outcomes. Historical September minima in Munich typically range 9–13 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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