A strengthening cold front and associated low-pressure system moving across western Washington Thursday night into Friday are the dominant drivers suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 25, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating widespread rain, gusty southerly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Forecast highs cluster in the upper 50s to low 60s°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 58–61°F bins at 68.5% combined implied probability. Cloud cover, precipitation totals of 0.5–1 inch in lowlands, and post-frontal stabilization further cap diurnal warming relative to September climatology near 68–70°F. Updated model runs overnight and Friday morning NHC/NOAA briefings on frontal timing and instability will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seattle il 25 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Seattle il 25 settembre?
60-61°F 42%
58-59°F 27%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
3%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
42%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
1%
68°F o superiore
<1%
60-61°F 42%
58-59°F 27%
62-63°F 19%
56-57°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 set 2026
49°F o inferiore
$95 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$439 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$203 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$856 Vol.
3%
56-57°F
$417 Vol.
6%
58-59°F
$1,989 Vol.
27%
60-61°F
$1,032 Vol.
42%
62-63°F
$991 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$345 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$245 Vol.
1%
68°F o superiore
$675 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening cold front and associated low-pressure system moving across western Washington Thursday night into Friday are the dominant drivers suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 25, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating widespread rain, gusty southerly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Forecast highs cluster in the upper 50s to low 60s°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 58–61°F bins at 68.5% combined implied probability. Cloud cover, precipitation totals of 0.5–1 inch in lowlands, and post-frontal stabilization further cap diurnal warming relative to September climatology near 68–70°F. Updated model runs overnight and Friday morning NHC/NOAA briefings on frontal timing and instability will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 23, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Volume
$7,287Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 7:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strengthening cold front and associated low-pressure system moving across western Washington Thursday night into Friday are the dominant drivers suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 25, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating widespread rain, gusty southerly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Forecast highs cluster in the upper 50s to low 60s°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 58–61°F bins at 68.5% combined implied probability. Cloud cover, precipitation totals of 0.5–1 inch in lowlands, and post-frontal stabilization further cap diurnal warming relative to September climatology near 68–70°F. Updated model runs overnight and Friday morning NHC/NOAA briefings on frontal timing and instability will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,287Data di fine
25 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 23, 2026, 7:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...A strengthening cold front and associated low-pressure system moving across western Washington Thursday night into Friday are the dominant drivers suppressing Seattle's maximum temperature on September 25, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating widespread rain, gusty southerly winds, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and advect cooler maritime air. Forecast highs cluster in the upper 50s to low 60s°F, consistent with the market's heavy weighting toward 58–61°F bins at 68.5% combined implied probability. Cloud cover, precipitation totals of 0.5–1 inch in lowlands, and post-frontal stabilization further cap diurnal warming relative to September climatology near 68–70°F. Updated model runs overnight and Friday morning NHC/NOAA briefings on frontal timing and instability will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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