Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston Intercontinental Airport and supporting stations recorded a daily maximum in the mid-90s on September 23, aligning directly with the market's dominant 94-95°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under weak steering flow and above-normal seasonal baselines supported this range, with model guidance and real-time readings converging on limited afternoon heating before a weak front arrived. The near-100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified measurements over forecasts, though revisions to preliminary climatological data or selection of an alternate official station could still shift resolution if discrepancies emerge before final settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 23 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 23 settembre?
94-95°F 100%
85°F o meno <1%
30-31°C <1%
88-89°F <1%
$19,399 Vol.
$19,399 Vol.
23 set 2026
85°F o meno
No
30-31°C
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Sì
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F o superiore
No
94-95°F 100%
85°F o meno <1%
30-31°C <1%
88-89°F <1%
$19,399 Vol.
$19,399 Vol.
23 set 2026
85°F o meno
$246 Vol.
No
30-31°C
$95 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$274 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,660 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$2,853 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$6,006 Vol.
Sì
96-97°F
$4,474 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,812 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$443 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$384 Vol.
No
104°F o superiore
$152 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston Intercontinental Airport and supporting stations recorded a daily maximum in the mid-90s on September 23, aligning directly with the market's dominant 94-95°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under weak steering flow and above-normal seasonal baselines supported this range, with model guidance and real-time readings converging on limited afternoon heating before a weak front arrived. The near-100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified measurements over forecasts, though revisions to preliminary climatological data or selection of an alternate official station could still shift resolution if discrepancies emerge before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,399Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston Intercontinental Airport and supporting stations recorded a daily maximum in the mid-90s on September 23, aligning directly with the market's dominant 94-95°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under weak steering flow and above-normal seasonal baselines supported this range, with model guidance and real-time readings converging on limited afternoon heating before a weak front arrived. The near-100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified measurements over forecasts, though revisions to preliminary climatological data or selection of an alternate official station could still shift resolution if discrepancies emerge before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,399Data di fine
23 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston Intercontinental Airport and supporting stations recorded a daily maximum in the mid-90s on September 23, aligning directly with the market's dominant 94-95°F outcome. Persistent warm, humid conditions under weak steering flow and above-normal seasonal baselines supported this range, with model guidance and real-time readings converging on limited afternoon heating before a weak front arrived. The near-100% implied probability reflects trader assessment of verified measurements over forecasts, though revisions to preliminary climatological data or selection of an alternate official station could still shift resolution if discrepancies emerge before final settlement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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