**Real-time observations and short-range forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak air temperatures in Guangzhou will reach 35 °C on September 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs show daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold after morning recovery from overnight lows around 26–27 °C, consistent with the seasonal pattern where September highs frequently approach or briefly exceed early-autumn records. The market-implied 99.9 % probability on 35 °C reflects trader aggregation of these converging data streams and official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cooling shift, such as increased cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak, or a final verified maximum falling to 34 °C due to precise siting or averaging methodology at the reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 24 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 24 settembre?
35°C 99.9%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,183 Vol.
$41,183 Vol.
24 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 99.9%
27°C o inferiore <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$41,183 Vol.
$41,183 Vol.
24 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$306 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$419 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,144 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,981 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,564 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,607 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$7,457 Vol.
100%
36°C
$6,761 Vol.
<1%
37°C o superiore
$4,808 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and short-range forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak air temperatures in Guangzhou will reach 35 °C on September 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs show daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold after morning recovery from overnight lows around 26–27 °C, consistent with the seasonal pattern where September highs frequently approach or briefly exceed early-autumn records. The market-implied 99.9 % probability on 35 °C reflects trader aggregation of these converging data streams and official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cooling shift, such as increased cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak, or a final verified maximum falling to 34 °C due to precise siting or averaging methodology at the reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$41,183Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Real-time observations and short-range forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak air temperatures in Guangzhou will reach 35 °C on September 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs show daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold after morning recovery from overnight lows around 26–27 °C, consistent with the seasonal pattern where September highs frequently approach or briefly exceed early-autumn records. The market-implied 99.9 % probability on 35 °C reflects trader aggregation of these converging data streams and official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cooling shift, such as increased cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak, or a final verified maximum falling to 34 °C due to precise siting or averaging methodology at the reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,183Data di fine
24 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47de9d...**Real-time observations and short-range forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak air temperatures in Guangzhou will reach 35 °C on September 24, 2026, under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling.** Multiple numerical weather prediction runs show daytime maxima stabilizing near this threshold after morning recovery from overnight lows around 26–27 °C, consistent with the seasonal pattern where September highs frequently approach or briefly exceed early-autumn records. The market-implied 99.9 % probability on 35 °C reflects trader aggregation of these converging data streams and official station readings. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cooling shift, such as increased cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak, or a final verified maximum falling to 34 °C due to precise siting or averaging methodology at the reporting station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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