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icon for Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec

icon for Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec
Mondo·Canada

Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec

Bernard Drainville 70%

Karine Laflamme 24%

Yanick Godbout 3.8%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Bernard Drainville 70%

Karine Laflamme 24%

Yanick Godbout 3.8%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$790 Vol.

70%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$762 Vol.

24%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$237 Vol.

4%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$810 Vol.

3%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$442 Vol.

3%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and former minister, leads the Lévis race with trader consensus reflecting his strong local profile and the riding’s recent CAQ performance. The October 5, 2026 general election features confirmed candidates including Conservative Karine Laflamme, Parti Québécois Yanick Godbout, Liberal Brittany Blais, and Québec solidaire Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé. Projections from models updated in early September place the CAQ ahead in popular vote estimates for the district, supported by Drainville’s 2022 margin and ongoing campaign activity. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that have altered positioning. Provincial trends show shifting support toward the PQ and Liberals elsewhere, yet Lévis remains a CAQ-leaning seat where incumbency and regional ties continue to shape implied probabilities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,041
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec MNA and former minister, leads the Lévis race with trader consensus reflecting his strong local profile and the riding’s recent CAQ performance. The October 5, 2026 general election features confirmed candidates including Conservative Karine Laflamme, Parti Québécois Yanick Godbout, Liberal Brittany Blais, and Québec solidaire Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé. Projections from models updated in early September place the CAQ ahead in popular vote estimates for the district, supported by Drainville’s 2022 margin and ongoing campaign activity. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that have altered positioning. Provincial trends show shifting support toward the PQ and Liberals elsewhere, yet Lévis remains a CAQ-leaning seat where incumbency and regional ties continue to shape implied probabilities.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,041
Data di fine
5 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Bernard Drainville" a 70%, seguito da "Karine Laflamme" a 24%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 70¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 70% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 31, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec" è "Bernard Drainville" a 70%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 70% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Karine Laflamme" a 24%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Lévis Vincitore delle elezioni dell'Assemblea Nazionale del Quebec" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.