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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 84%

Morgan Stanley 13%

Bank of America 1.0%

JPMorgan <1%

Polymarket

$51,372 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 84%

Morgan Stanley 13%

Bank of America 1.0%

JPMorgan <1%

Polymarket

$51,372 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$14,250 Vol.

84%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$8,600 Vol.

13%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$2,483 Vol.

1%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$3,929 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$2,649 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$3,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for UBS

UBS

$3,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$9,084 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$3,234 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability due to its recent selection as lead-left underwriter on the SpaceX IPO and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The two banks have handled the bulk of preparation for the artificial intelligence company’s potential listing, with Goldman benefiting from its track record in major tech debuts and allocation influence. Morgan Stanley holds a distant second at 12.5%, reflecting its comparable bookrunner status and parallel work on rival Anthropic. Preliminary discussions with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others have not elevated their positions. CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 comments ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 for AI safety and alignment work have not altered bank dynamics, though the eventual public prospectus remains the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,372
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs leads trader sentiment at 83.5% implied probability due to its recent selection as lead-left underwriter on the SpaceX IPO and primary role alongside Morgan Stanley in OpenAI’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing. The two banks have handled the bulk of preparation for the artificial intelligence company’s potential listing, with Goldman benefiting from its track record in major tech debuts and allocation influence. Morgan Stanley holds a distant second at 12.5%, reflecting its comparable bookrunner status and parallel work on rival Anthropic. Preliminary discussions with JPMorgan, Citigroup, and others have not elevated their positions. CEO Sam Altman’s September 2026 comments ruling out a 2026 IPO in favor of 2027 for AI safety and alignment work have not altered bank dynamics, though the eventual public prospectus remains the key resolution catalyst.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,372
Data di fine
31 dic 2027
Mercato aperto
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

81%
icon for La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

74%
Sì
icon for La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?

La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?

93%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Goldman Sachs" a 84%, seguito da "Morgan Stanley" a 13%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 84¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ha generato $51.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 21, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" è "Goldman Sachs" a 84%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Morgan Stanley" a 13%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.