Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and ongoing preparations for a large-scale IPO have anchored trader consensus around NASDAQ at 82.5% implied probability, as the exchange dominates listings for high-growth artificial intelligence and technology firms with underwriters like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent timeline adjustments pushing prospectus release to late September and marketing into mid-October have kept focus on execution risks rather than venue shifts, while NYSE’s low 3% odds reflect its rarer use for pure-play AI companies. The “Other” outcome at 15% captures residual uncertainty around potential delays or non-traditional structures ahead of a potential October debut that could test trillion-dollar AI valuations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNASDAQ 72%
Altro 15%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Altro
15%
NASDAQ 72%
Altro 15%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Altro
15%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and ongoing preparations for a large-scale IPO have anchored trader consensus around NASDAQ at 82.5% implied probability, as the exchange dominates listings for high-growth artificial intelligence and technology firms with underwriters like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley. Recent timeline adjustments pushing prospectus release to late September and marketing into mid-October have kept focus on execution risks rather than venue shifts, while NYSE’s low 3% odds reflect its rarer use for pure-play AI companies. The “Other” outcome at 15% captures residual uncertainty around potential delays or non-traditional structures ahead of a potential October debut that could test trillion-dollar AI valuations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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