OpenAI’s recent pursuit of a private funding round targeting at least $1.5 trillion valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO over AI safety priorities, forms the central driver behind the 64.8% market-implied odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Trader consensus reflects sustained revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion amid strong adoption of recent models, alongside the March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and investor overtures that have lifted private pricing targets. The 2027 listing timeline now favored by the company allows further scaling before public debut, though elevated losses and regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI remain key variables that could influence final pricing thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1,5T+ 64.9%
1,25T–1,5T 10%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 8.4%
1T–1,25T 4.4%
$316,776 Vol.
$316,776 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
1%
500–750 miliardi
1%
750B–1T
2%
1T–1,25T
4%
1,25T–1,5T
10%
1,5T+
65%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
8%
1,5T+ 64.9%
1,25T–1,5T 10%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027 8.4%
1T–1,25T 4.4%
$316,776 Vol.
$316,776 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500 miliardi
$28,440 Vol.
1%
500–750 miliardi
$25,855 Vol.
1%
750B–1T
$64,173 Vol.
2%
1T–1,25T
$38,815 Vol.
4%
1,25T–1,5T
$28,923 Vol.
10%
1,5T+
$68,896 Vol.
65%
Nessuna quotazione in borsa entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$61,673 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s recent pursuit of a private funding round targeting at least $1.5 trillion valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO over AI safety priorities, forms the central driver behind the 64.8% market-implied odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Trader consensus reflects sustained revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion amid strong adoption of recent models, alongside the March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and investor overtures that have lifted private pricing targets. The 2027 listing timeline now favored by the company allows further scaling before public debut, though elevated losses and regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI remain key variables that could influence final pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$316,776Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s recent pursuit of a private funding round targeting at least $1.5 trillion valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO over AI safety priorities, forms the central driver behind the 64.8% market-implied odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Trader consensus reflects sustained revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion amid strong adoption of recent models, alongside the March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and investor overtures that have lifted private pricing targets. The 2027 listing timeline now favored by the company allows further scaling before public debut, though elevated losses and regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI remain key variables that could influence final pricing thresholds.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$316,776Data di fine
1 gen 2028Mercato aperto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s recent pursuit of a private funding round targeting at least $1.5 trillion valuation, paired with CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statements ruling out a 2026 IPO over AI safety priorities, forms the central driver behind the 64.8% market-implied odds on a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion. Trader consensus reflects sustained revenue momentum, with annualized run rates exceeding $40 billion amid strong adoption of recent models, alongside the March 2026 $852 billion post-money round and investor overtures that have lifted private pricing targets. The 2027 listing timeline now favored by the company allows further scaling before public debut, though elevated losses and regulatory scrutiny on frontier AI remain key variables that could influence final pricing thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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