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icon for Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI
Finanza·IPO

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI

icon for Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI
Finanza·IPO

Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI

gen 1, 2027

gen 1, 2028

gen 1, 2027

gen 1, 2028

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026 93.0%

<500Mld 2.4%

750 miliardi–1 trilione <1%

1,5T+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,305,563 Vol.

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026 93.0%

<500Mld 2.4%

750 miliardi–1 trilione <1%

1,5T+ <1%

Polymarket

$2,305,563 Vol.

<500Mld

$315,127 Vol.

2%

500–750 miliardi

$170,329 Vol.

<1%

750 miliardi–1 trilione

$183,987 Vol.

1%

1T–1,25T

$225,278 Vol.

<1%

1,25 T–1,5 T

$532,092 Vol.

1%

1,5T+

$162,418 Vol.

1%

Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026

$716,333 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out an OpenAI IPO this year, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, represent the dominant catalyst behind the 92.8% market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2026. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing left timing flexible, yet leadership has consistently signaled a 2027 target, reinforced by the $1 trillion valuation threshold, heavy operating losses, and caution from CFO Sarah Friar over public-company reporting readiness amid infrastructure commitments. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable management signals and recent market volatility precedents such as SpaceX’s post-IPO performance. Realistic shifts could arise from accelerated revenue inflection, completed safety coordination with regulators and peers, or materially improved equity-market conditions that close the gap to Altman’s valuation floor.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,305,563
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Sam Altman’s September 12, 2026 statements ruling out an OpenAI IPO this year, citing the need to prioritize AI safety and alignment work, represent the dominant catalyst behind the 92.8% market-implied probability of no listing by December 31, 2026. The company’s June confidential S-1 filing left timing flexible, yet leadership has consistently signaled a 2027 target, reinforced by the $1 trillion valuation threshold, heavy operating losses, and caution from CFO Sarah Friar over public-company reporting readiness amid infrastructure commitments. Trader consensus reflects these verifiable management signals and recent market volatility precedents such as SpaceX’s post-IPO performance. Realistic shifts could arise from accelerated revenue inflection, completed safety coordination with regulators and peers, or materially improved equity-market conditions that close the gap to Altman’s valuation floor.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$2,305,563
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?

74%
Sì
icon for La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?

La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI alla chiusura dell'IPO supererà gli 800 miliardi di dollari?

93%
Sì
icon for SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

58%
SpaceX

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026" a 93%, seguito da "<500Mld" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 93¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 93% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" ha generato $2.3 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Sep 22, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" è "Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2026" a 93%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 93% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "<500Mld" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Capitalizzazione di mercato di chiusura IPO OpenAI" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.