The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
LA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni alla Camera
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
99%
Partito Repubblicano
1%
$61,261 Vol.
$61,261 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$34,835 Vol.
99%
Partito Repubblicano
$26,426 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$61,261Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,261Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its voter registration edge and demographic profile centered on New Orleans, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic hold. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 primary and potential December runoff, consistent with the incumbent's prior performance and limited Republican organization. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court's Callais decision preserved substantial Democratic registration and voting-age population shares in the updated boundaries. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a major candidate scandal, health event, or an unusually sharp national political swing that boosts turnout among non-Democratic voters in this low-competition environment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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