Traders assign the highest probability to 1-100 Gold Cards sold in 2026 because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and operational from December, has recorded minimal uptake through mid-2026. Commerce Department testimony and Department of Homeland Security filings show only one approval and roughly 338 applications with 165 processing fees paid, amid ongoing vetting. The initiative routes applicants into existing EB-1 and EB-2 visa categories rather than creating new numbers, leaving outcomes subject to statutory caps, priority dates, and country limits. Active litigation challenging executive authority adds further uncertainty, while high contribution thresholds and worldwide tax obligations for recipients constrain demand. These verified constraints position low-volume brackets as the leading outcomes in current trader consensus.