**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 16 settembre?
33°C o superiore 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
Sì
33°C o superiore 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$31,516 Vol.
$31,516 Vol.
16 set 2026
23°C o inferiore
$1,294 Vol.
No
24°C
$294 Vol.
No
25°C
$990 Vol.
No
26°C
$356 Vol.
No
27°C
$145 Vol.
No
28°C
$372 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,427 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,531 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,956 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,357 Vol.
No
33°C o superiore
$7,794 Vol.
Sì
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,516Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,516Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus on a maximum temperature of 33°C or higher in Lucknow on September 16 rests on official observations and short-range forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models.** Recent data show daytime highs reaching 34–35°C at Lucknow Airport and nearby stations under partly cloudy monsoon conditions, with dew points near 26–27°C and light winds failing to deliver significant cooling. These readings align with typical late-September patterns in Uttar Pradesh, where residual heat and humidity persist despite scattered showers. The 100% market-implied probability reflects near-certainty that the daily maximum will exceed the threshold, though minor downward revisions remain possible if unforecast heavy afternoon convection develops or if official verification adjusts the peak by 1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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