**Trader consensus at 100% on 31°C reflects consistent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, projecting a daily maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation risk.** Official guidance and ensemble models show highs of 30–31.8°C (roughly 86–89°F), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C but below the all-time September 17 record of 32.4°C. Current surface observations and afternoon readings approaching or reaching 31°C reinforce this positioning, with minimal model spread on intensification factors such as insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Realistic deviations would require late-day convective development, thicker cloud cover, or a sharper shift in steering flow—developments that monitoring agencies have not indicated in the latest updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Pechino il 17 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Pechino il 17 settembre?
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$63,772 Vol.
$63,772 Vol.
17 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C o inferiore <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$63,772 Vol.
$63,772 Vol.
17 set 2026
25°C o inferiore
$2,296 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,497 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,679 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,409 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10,328 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$7,086 Vol.
100%
32°C
$12,692 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,878 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,918 Vol.
<1%
35°C o superiore
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 31°C reflects consistent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, projecting a daily maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation risk.**
Official guidance and ensemble models show highs of 30–31.8°C (roughly 86–89°F), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C but below the all-time September 17 record of 32.4°C. Current surface observations and afternoon readings approaching or reaching 31°C reinforce this positioning, with minimal model spread on intensification factors such as insolation or boundary-layer mixing.
Realistic deviations would require late-day convective development, thicker cloud cover, or a sharper shift in steering flow—developments that monitoring agencies have not indicated in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$63,772Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 31°C reflects consistent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, projecting a daily maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation risk.**
Official guidance and ensemble models show highs of 30–31.8°C (roughly 86–89°F), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C but below the all-time September 17 record of 32.4°C. Current surface observations and afternoon readings approaching or reaching 31°C reinforce this positioning, with minimal model spread on intensification factors such as insolation or boundary-layer mixing.
Realistic deviations would require late-day convective development, thicker cloud cover, or a sharper shift in steering flow—developments that monitoring agencies have not indicated in the latest updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,772Data di fine
17 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 31°C reflects consistent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 17, 2026, projecting a daily maximum near that threshold under mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and low precipitation risk.** Official guidance and ensemble models show highs of 30–31.8°C (roughly 86–89°F), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26°C but below the all-time September 17 record of 32.4°C. Current surface observations and afternoon readings approaching or reaching 31°C reinforce this positioning, with minimal model spread on intensification factors such as insolation or boundary-layer mixing. Realistic deviations would require late-day convective development, thicker cloud cover, or a sharper shift in steering flow—developments that monitoring agencies have not indicated in the latest updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti