The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
29°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 Vol.
$68,942 Vol.
13 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,942 Vol.
$68,942 Vol.
13 set 2026
26°C o inferiore
$1,995 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,411 Vol.
No
28°C
$17,197 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,183 Vol.
Sì
30°C
$14,895 Vol.
No
31°C
$9,824 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,905 Vol.
No
33°C
$145 Vol.
No
34°C
$106 Vol.
No
35°C
$143 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$138 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$68,942Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,942Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The overwhelming market consensus on 29°C as Shanghai’s peak temperature on September 13 reflects real-time observations from official monitoring stations under mostly clear skies with light northeasterly winds. This outcome aligns with mid-September climatology in the Yangtze River delta, where subtropical high pressure typically caps daytime maxima near seasonal averages without strong frontal influences or typhoon activity. Ensemble forecasts from global models showed tight clustering around 29°C through the afternoon, with low spread supporting the near-certain implied probability. Only a late revision in verified station readings or an unexpected localized heat spike could alter resolution, though current data indicate stable conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti