Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCA-47 House Election Winner
CA-47 House Election Winner
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dave Min (D)
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
6%
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Dave Min (D)
$3,261 Vol.
95%
Jenny Le Roux (R)
$10,876 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,137Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,137Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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