The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarina JHC 37%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 3.8%
$23,843 Vol.
$23,843 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Marina JHC
37%
Renan
31%
Arthur Lira
23%
Davi Davino Filho
4%
Dr. Wanderley
1%
Alexandre Fleming
<1%
Mariedson
<1%
Marina JHC 37%
Renan 31%
Arthur Lira 23%
Davi Davino Filho 3.8%
$23,843 Vol.
$23,843 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Marina JHC
$5,008 Vol.
37%
Renan
$9,235 Vol.
31%
Arthur Lira
$5,669 Vol.
23%
Davi Davino Filho
$1,067 Vol.
4%
Dr. Wanderley
$1,398 Vol.
1%
Alexandre Fleming
$707 Vol.
<1%
Mariedson
$759 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Volume
$23,843Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,843Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas Senate race for two seats features a competitive three-way contest among Arthur Lira (PP), Renan Calheiros (MDB), and Marina JHC (PSDB), with recent polls showing them clustered within margins of error in combined first- and second-choice voting. Marina JHC’s late registration as a substitute for her husband JHC, leveraging strong capital name recognition and an alliance with Lira’s coalition, has boosted her positioning in trader assessments for second place despite limited interior penetration. Renan’s long Senate tenure and MDB base sustain support, while Lira’s national profile as former Chamber president anchors his share. Davi Davino Filho trails further back. With voting on October 4 and high undecided shares in surveys, small shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could reorder the second slot.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Arthur Lira otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni per il Senato dell'Alagoas del 2026?
46%
Sì
Veneziano otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni al Senato del Paraíba del 2026?
60%
Sì
Leila do Vôlei otterrà il secondo maggior numero di voti nelle elezioni del Senato del Distretto Federale del 2026?
53%
Sì
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