Trader consensus on Polymarket points to Claude experiencing 5-7 days of downtime in September as the most probable outcome, driven by Anthropic's infrastructure handling sustained high demand for its large language model without widespread failures. Early-month scaling adjustments and routine maintenance have contributed to brief, localized interruptions, consistent with typical uptime patterns for frontier AI services. Competitive model releases from other labs have increased query loads, while regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds operational caution. No major breaches or extended outages have emerged in the past two weeks, keeping probabilities anchored near the midpoint of historical monthly performance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui5-7 52%
8-10 33%
11-13 6.7%
<5 2.6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<5
3%
5-7
52%
8-10
33%
11-13
7%
14+
<1%
5-7 52%
8-10 33%
11-13 6.7%
<5 2.6%
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
<5
$1,895 Vol.
3%
5-7
$3,264 Vol.
52%
8-10
$1,339 Vol.
33%
11-13
$936 Vol.
7%
14+
$526 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket points to Claude experiencing 5-7 days of downtime in September as the most probable outcome, driven by Anthropic's infrastructure handling sustained high demand for its large language model without widespread failures. Early-month scaling adjustments and routine maintenance have contributed to brief, localized interruptions, consistent with typical uptime patterns for frontier AI services. Competitive model releases from other labs have increased query loads, while regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds operational caution. No major breaches or extended outages have emerged in the past two weeks, keeping probabilities anchored near the midpoint of historical monthly performance.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$7,960Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket points to Claude experiencing 5-7 days of downtime in September as the most probable outcome, driven by Anthropic's infrastructure handling sustained high demand for its large language model without widespread failures. Early-month scaling adjustments and routine maintenance have contributed to brief, localized interruptions, consistent with typical uptime patterns for frontier AI services. Competitive model releases from other labs have increased query loads, while regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds operational caution. No major breaches or extended outages have emerged in the past two weeks, keeping probabilities anchored near the midpoint of historical monthly performance.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$7,960Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket points to Claude experiencing 5-7 days of downtime in September as the most probable outcome, driven by Anthropic's infrastructure handling sustained high demand for its large language model without widespread failures. Early-month scaling adjustments and routine maintenance have contributed to brief, localized interruptions, consistent with typical uptime patterns for frontier AI services. Competitive model releases from other labs have increased query loads, while regulatory scrutiny on AI safety adds operational caution. No major breaches or extended outages have emerged in the past two weeks, keeping probabilities anchored near the midpoint of historical monthly performance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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