Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence—Opus 4.8 in late May followed by Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—drives current trader expectations for the next flagship iteration. Opus 5 delivered strong gains on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the price of the higher-tier Fable 5, positioning it as a cost-effective daily driver while Mythos-class models handle restricted workloads. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of quarterly-or-faster Opus updates, supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signal ongoing iteration momentum, though no official timeline or feature announcements have emerged yet. Traders watch for developer conferences, earnings commentary, or internal leaks that could shift the narrow window before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$107,518 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
83%
October 31
99%
December 31
98%
$107,518 Vol.
September 30
$47,591 Vol.
83%
October 31
$13,267 Vol.
99%
December 31
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence—Opus 4.8 in late May followed by Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—drives current trader expectations for the next flagship iteration. Opus 5 delivered strong gains on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the price of the higher-tier Fable 5, positioning it as a cost-effective daily driver while Mythos-class models handle restricted workloads. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of quarterly-or-faster Opus updates, supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signal ongoing iteration momentum, though no official timeline or feature announcements have emerged yet. Traders watch for developer conferences, earnings commentary, or internal leaks that could shift the narrow window before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volume
$107,518Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence—Opus 4.8 in late May followed by Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—drives current trader expectations for the next flagship iteration. Opus 5 delivered strong gains on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the price of the higher-tier Fable 5, positioning it as a cost-effective daily driver while Mythos-class models handle restricted workloads. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of quarterly-or-faster Opus updates, supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signal ongoing iteration momentum, though no official timeline or feature announcements have emerged yet. Traders watch for developer conferences, earnings commentary, or internal leaks that could shift the narrow window before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$107,518Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence—Opus 4.8 in late May followed by Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—drives current trader expectations for the next flagship iteration. Opus 5 delivered strong gains on coding and agentic benchmarks at half the price of the higher-tier Fable 5, positioning it as a cost-effective daily driver while Mythos-class models handle restricted workloads. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s pattern of quarterly-or-faster Opus updates, supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Recent September 1 launches of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 further signal ongoing iteration momentum, though no official timeline or feature announcements have emerged yet. Traders watch for developer conferences, earnings commentary, or internal leaks that could shift the narrow window before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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