Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI leaders have driven trader sentiment on commitments to embedded third-party AI safety evaluators by October 31. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged ongoing, employee-level access for independent groups like METR to models and training processes, with rights to publish findings. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach, and the company has backed related federal legislation such as the FRONTIER Act. Other frontier labs including Google DeepMind, Meta, and xAI have not made comparable pledges for permanent embedded oversight, though some support broader standards bodies or pre-release testing. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether additional labs will formalize these specific arrangements before the deadline, amid ongoing debates on evaluator independence and implementation details.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$51,780 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Microsoft
25%
23%
Meta
20%
Amazon
18%
Mistral
14%
SpaceXAI
12%
ByteDance
9%
Z.ai
8%
Baidu
8%
Alibaba
7%
Meituan
6%
DeepSeek
6%
Moonshot
4%
$51,780 Vol.
Microsoft
$4,219 Vol.
25%
$8,256 Vol.
23%
Meta
$3,142 Vol.
20%
Amazon
$6,877 Vol.
18%
Mistral
$3,814 Vol.
14%
SpaceXAI
$3,878 Vol.
12%
ByteDance
$3,433 Vol.
9%
Z.ai
$1,013 Vol.
8%
Baidu
$419 Vol.
8%
Alibaba
$3,757 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$600 Vol.
6%
DeepSeek
$2,803 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$9,569 Vol.
4%
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI leaders have driven trader sentiment on commitments to embedded third-party AI safety evaluators by October 31. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged ongoing, employee-level access for independent groups like METR to models and training processes, with rights to publish findings. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach, and the company has backed related federal legislation such as the FRONTIER Act. Other frontier labs including Google DeepMind, Meta, and xAI have not made comparable pledges for permanent embedded oversight, though some support broader standards bodies or pre-release testing. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether additional labs will formalize these specific arrangements before the deadline, amid ongoing debates on evaluator independence and implementation details.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Volume
$51,780Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI leaders have driven trader sentiment on commitments to embedded third-party AI safety evaluators by October 31. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged ongoing, employee-level access for independent groups like METR to models and training processes, with rights to publish findings. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach, and the company has backed related federal legislation such as the FRONTIER Act. Other frontier labs including Google DeepMind, Meta, and xAI have not made comparable pledges for permanent embedded oversight, though some support broader standards bodies or pre-release testing. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether additional labs will formalize these specific arrangements before the deadline, amid ongoing debates on evaluator independence and implementation details.
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,780Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI leaders have driven trader sentiment on commitments to embedded third-party AI safety evaluators by October 31. On September 12, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei pledged ongoing, employee-level access for independent groups like METR to models and training processes, with rights to publish findings. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman quickly endorsed the approach, and the company has backed related federal legislation such as the FRONTIER Act. Other frontier labs including Google DeepMind, Meta, and xAI have not made comparable pledges for permanent embedded oversight, though some support broader standards bodies or pre-release testing. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether additional labs will formalize these specific arrangements before the deadline, amid ongoing debates on evaluator independence and implementation details.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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