Trader consensus on Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap reflects uncertainty around the company’s exceptional revenue trajectory and public-market reception of its AI growth story. Recent reports highlight annualized revenue reaching $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025, with 2028 projections of $190–200 billion supporting banker discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. The closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.75–2.5 trillion bands underscore debate over sustainable multiples, execution on margins, and timing of the anticipated mid-October marketing following a late-September S-1 filing. Private-market levels near $1.3 trillion and comparisons to SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion listing provide benchmarks, while upcoming regulatory review and roadshow feedback remain key swing factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$2.0–$2.25T 21.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 22%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.1%
$673,206 Vol.
$673,206 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
22%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$2.0–$2.25T 21.9%
$2.25–$2.5T 22%
$1.75–$2.0T 19%
$2.5–$2.75T 16.1%
$673,206 Vol.
$673,206 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
1%
$1.5–$1.75T
7%
$1.75–$2.0T
19%
$2.0–$2.25T
22%
$2.25–$2.5T
22%
$2.5–$2.75T
16%
$2.75–$3.0T
4%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap reflects uncertainty around the company’s exceptional revenue trajectory and public-market reception of its AI growth story. Recent reports highlight annualized revenue reaching $65 billion by July 2026, up from $9 billion at the end of 2025, with 2028 projections of $190–200 billion supporting banker discussions of a roughly $2 trillion valuation. The closely matched implied probabilities across the $1.75–2.5 trillion bands underscore debate over sustainable multiples, execution on margins, and timing of the anticipated mid-October marketing following a late-September S-1 filing. Private-market levels near $1.3 trillion and comparisons to SpaceX’s $1.77 trillion listing provide benchmarks, while upcoming regulatory review and roadshow feedback remain key swing factors.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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