Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Teresa Fox and other challengers, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean across Kitsap, Pierce, and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, where Randall prevailed by double digits in 2024, combined with her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Fox's limited resources. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primary. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan swing, candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula district ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWA-06 House Election Winner
WA-06 House Election Winner
$38,191 Vol.
$38,191 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Emily Randall (D)
95%
Teresa Fox (R)
5%
$38,191 Vol.
$38,191 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Emily Randall (D)
$4,040 Vol.
95%
Teresa Fox (R)
$34,151 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Teresa Fox and other challengers, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean across Kitsap, Pierce, and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, where Randall prevailed by double digits in 2024, combined with her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Fox's limited resources. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primary. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan swing, candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$38,191Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Teresa Fox and other challengers, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean across Kitsap, Pierce, and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, where Randall prevailed by double digits in 2024, combined with her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Fox's limited resources. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primary. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan swing, candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula district ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,191Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Emily Randall, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, advanced from Washington's August 4 top-two primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against Republican Teresa Fox and other challengers, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic lean across Kitsap, Pierce, and surrounding counties. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on prior results, where Randall prevailed by double digits in 2024, combined with her substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Fox's limited resources. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments since the primary. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan swing, candidate-specific event, or unusually high Republican turnout in this Olympic and Kitsap Peninsula district ahead of the November 3 general election.
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