Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

icon for Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner
Dunia·Samoa

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.5%

Polymarket
BARU

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 19%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 4.5%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$1,947 Vol.

43%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$2,497 Vol.

19%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$1,180 Vol.

16%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$546 Vol.

5%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Recent electoral court rulings voiding prior Vaimauga 3 results over bribery convictions have triggered this third contest in the constituency within a year, with nominations closing in late August and voting set for 18 September 2026. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and several independents, including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo. The split FAST effort, absence of a dominant incumbent, and limited pre-polling window sustain tight implied probabilities across leading options. Late endorsements, campaign focus on local development priorities, or turnout patterns in this urban Apia-area seat could shift positioning ahead of the return of the writ.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,171
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Recent electoral court rulings voiding prior Vaimauga 3 results over bribery convictions have triggered this third contest in the constituency within a year, with nominations closing in late August and voting set for 18 September 2026. Trader consensus reflects a fragmented field featuring FAST candidates Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaalatamai Filemoni Filemoni alongside the HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo and several independents, including Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo. The split FAST effort, absence of a dominant incumbent, and limited pre-polling window sustain tight implied probabilities across leading options. Late endorsements, campaign focus on local development priorities, or turnout patterns in this urban Apia-area seat could shift positioning ahead of the return of the writ.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,171
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Lei Paasi win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

Will Lei Paasi win the Tongatapu 2 by-election?

46%
icon for Will Sitiveni Selui win the Ongo Niua 17 by-election?

Will Sitiveni Selui win the Ongo Niua 17 by-election?

46%
icon for Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?

Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?

37%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" adalah "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.