Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's incumbency position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, Senate contest, reflected in the market's 96.4% implied probability. The state backed Republican presidential candidates by roughly 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty won the 2020 rematch against Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points. Hagerty ran unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary while Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 54.8% in a five-candidate field. Limited recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by 20-plus points, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and his substantial fundraising edge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTennessee Senate Election Winner
Tennessee Senate Election Winner
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Vol.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's incumbency position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, Senate contest, reflected in the market's 96.4% implied probability. The state backed Republican presidential candidates by roughly 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty won the 2020 rematch against Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points. Hagerty ran unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary while Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 54.8% in a five-candidate field. Limited recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by 20-plus points, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and his substantial fundraising edge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,907Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's incumbency position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, Senate contest, reflected in the market's 96.4% implied probability. The state backed Republican presidential candidates by roughly 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty won the 2020 rematch against Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points. Hagerty ran unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary while Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 54.8% in a five-candidate field. Limited recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by 20-plus points, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and his substantial fundraising edge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,907Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's incumbency position him as the clear frontrunner in the November 3, 2026, Senate contest, reflected in the market's 96.4% implied probability. The state backed Republican presidential candidates by roughly 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty won the 2020 rematch against Marquita Bradshaw by 27 points. Hagerty ran unopposed in the August 6 Republican primary while Bradshaw secured the Democratic nomination with 54.8% in a five-candidate field. Limited recent polling shows Hagerty ahead by 20-plus points, consistent with the state's partisan baseline and his substantial fundraising edge. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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