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icon for Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Pemilihan Umum·Bosnia Dan Herzegovina

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Pemilihan Umum·Bosnia Dan Herzegovina

Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Denis Bećirović 64%

Bakir Izetbegović 34%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$50,176 Vol.

Denis Bećirović 64%

Bakir Izetbegović 34%

Semir Efendić <1%

Polymarket

$50,176 Vol.

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$27,707 Vol.

64%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$15,209 Vol.

34%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$7,261 Vol.

<1%

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, contest for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, backed by a 14-party coalition that includes the Troika grouping and the Social Democratic Party. As the incumbent since 2022 and current Chairman of the Presidency, he benefits from established institutional visibility and a wide electoral alliance that mirrors his 2022 victory margin. Bakir Izetbegović, the SDA leader and two-term former Presidency member, trails as the primary challenger, drawing support from his party’s traditional base but facing renewed competition after his 2022 defeat. Semir Efendić’s independent candidacy from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina further fragments the field, primarily drawing from voters who might otherwise support Izetbegović. The market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics, incumbency advantages, and vote-splitting effects ahead of the general election.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,176
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Denis Bećirović holds the leading position in the October 4, 2026, contest for the Bosniak seat on Bosnia and Herzegovina’s tripartite Presidency, backed by a 14-party coalition that includes the Troika grouping and the Social Democratic Party. As the incumbent since 2022 and current Chairman of the Presidency, he benefits from established institutional visibility and a wide electoral alliance that mirrors his 2022 victory margin. Bakir Izetbegović, the SDA leader and two-term former Presidency member, trails as the primary challenger, drawing support from his party’s traditional base but facing renewed competition after his 2022 defeat. Semir Efendić’s independent candidacy from the Party for Bosnia and Herzegovina further fragments the field, primarily drawing from voters who might otherwise support Izetbegović. The market pricing reflects these coalition dynamics, incumbency advantages, and vote-splitting effects ahead of the general election.

The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.

If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Bosniak member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count. If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$50,176
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Denis Bećirović" di 64%, diikuti oleh "Bakir Izetbegović" di 34%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 64¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" telah menghasilkan $50.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 12, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" adalah "Denis Bećirović" di 64%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 64% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bakir Izetbegović" di 34%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.