Current forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow typical radiative cooling overnight. In the region's Mediterranean September climate, diurnal ranges commonly produce lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent stronger advection or marine influence. Minor differences in sea-breeze timing or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum by 1–2°C either direction, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 24°C, sub-18°C, and 28°C+ thresholds and reflects traders' assessment of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?
18°C or below 44%
28°C or higher 44%
24°C 41%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
44%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
38%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
41%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
44%
18°C or below 44%
28°C or higher 44%
24°C 41%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
44%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
38%
22°C
24%
23°C
25%
24°C
41%
25°C
40%
26°C
38%
27°C
14%
28°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow typical radiative cooling overnight. In the region's Mediterranean September climate, diurnal ranges commonly produce lows in the low-to-mid 20s°C absent stronger advection or marine influence. Minor differences in sea-breeze timing or cloud cover could nudge the actual minimum by 1–2°C either direction, which aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across the 24°C, sub-18°C, and 28°C+ thresholds and reflects traders' assessment of forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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