**Forecast models and official guidance point to a mild peak temperature in Cape Town today driven by persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover, which limit daytime heating.** These conditions, typical of early spring along the Benguela Current-influenced coast, cap maximums near 17–19°C according to multiple sources including detailed hourly projections showing a brief 19°C reading around midday before cooling. Trader consensus favoring 19°C (49.5% implied probability) over 20°C (28.5%) or 18°C (13.5%) reflects this narrow range, with real-money positioning incorporating historical September averages around 18°C and the low chance of rapid clearing that could allow slight additional warming. Resolution will hinge on the official highest reading from the primary station, with any late model revisions or observational updates the main near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
19°C 50%
20°C 29%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
$35,243 Vol.
$35,243 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
50%
20°C
29%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 50%
20°C 29%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
$35,243 Vol.
$35,243 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
50%
20°C
29%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to a mild peak temperature in Cape Town today driven by persistent southerly winds and extensive cloud cover, which limit daytime heating.** These conditions, typical of early spring along the Benguela Current-influenced coast, cap maximums near 17–19°C according to multiple sources including detailed hourly projections showing a brief 19°C reading around midday before cooling. Trader consensus favoring 19°C (49.5% implied probability) over 20°C (28.5%) or 18°C (13.5%) reflects this narrow range, with real-money positioning incorporating historical September averages around 18°C and the low chance of rapid clearing that could allow slight additional warming. Resolution will hinge on the official highest reading from the primary station, with any late model revisions or observational updates the main near-term variables.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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