Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a mild transitional pattern for Buenos Aires on September 11, with southeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 10–12°C. This aligns with typical early-spring baselines but creates tight market-implied odds because small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could push the low below 8°C or keep it above 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, with fresh guidance expected from updated runs overnight. Traders appear to weigh the balance between current stable high pressure and the approaching cooler air mass arriving later in the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 11?
7°C or below 73%
17°C or higher 73%
14°C 39%
10°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
73%
8°C
24%
9°C
23%
10°C
25%
11°C
21%
12°C
22%
13°C
21%
14°C
39%
15°C
16%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
73%
7°C or below 73%
17°C or higher 73%
14°C 39%
10°C 25%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Vol.
73%
8°C
$0 Vol.
24%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
22%
13°C
$0 Vol.
21%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
16%
17°C or higher
$0 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a mild transitional pattern for Buenos Aires on September 11, with southeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 10–12°C. This aligns with typical early-spring baselines but creates tight market-implied odds because small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could push the low below 8°C or keep it above 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, with fresh guidance expected from updated runs overnight. Traders appear to weigh the balance between current stable high pressure and the approaching cooler air mass arriving later in the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a mild transitional pattern for Buenos Aires on September 11, with southeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 10–12°C. This aligns with typical early-spring baselines but creates tight market-implied odds because small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could push the low below 8°C or keep it above 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, with fresh guidance expected from updated runs overnight. Traders appear to weigh the balance between current stable high pressure and the approaching cooler air mass arriving later in the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a mild transitional pattern for Buenos Aires on September 11, with southeasterly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 10–12°C. This aligns with typical early-spring baselines but creates tight market-implied odds because small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could push the low below 8°C or keep it above 14°C. Ensemble spreads highlight genuine uncertainty in exact minimum thresholds, with fresh guidance expected from updated runs overnight. Traders appear to weigh the balance between current stable high pressure and the approaching cooler air mass arriving later in the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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