Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Denver on September 10 points to clear skies, light southerly flow, and overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s, consistent with the 32% implied probability on the 54-55°F bin and supporting bins near 52-59°F. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling under high pressure, tempered by above-average daytime warmth that may limit how far temperatures drop before sunrise. Trader emphasis on the 70°F-or-higher outcome at 47.5% appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts that could keep the minimum elevated, alongside historical precedent for occasional September nights that stay unusually mild. Updated evening observations and any last model runs will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Denver on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 10?
70°F or higher 98%
51°F or below 46%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
51°F or below
46%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
21%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
40%
70°F or higher
98%
70°F or higher 98%
51°F or below 46%
52-53°F 40%
54-55°F 40%
BARU
BARU
Sep 10, 2026
51°F or below
$21 Vol.
46%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
26%
54-55°F
$5 Vol.
24%
56-57°F
$5 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
21%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
21%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
40%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
40%
70°F or higher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Denver on September 10 points to clear skies, light southerly flow, and overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s, consistent with the 32% implied probability on the 54-55°F bin and supporting bins near 52-59°F. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling under high pressure, tempered by above-average daytime warmth that may limit how far temperatures drop before sunrise. Trader emphasis on the 70°F-or-higher outcome at 47.5% appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts that could keep the minimum elevated, alongside historical precedent for occasional September nights that stay unusually mild. Updated evening observations and any last model runs will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Denver on September 10 points to clear skies, light southerly flow, and overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s, consistent with the 32% implied probability on the 54-55°F bin and supporting bins near 52-59°F. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling under high pressure, tempered by above-average daytime warmth that may limit how far temperatures drop before sunrise. Trader emphasis on the 70°F-or-higher outcome at 47.5% appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts that could keep the minimum elevated, alongside historical precedent for occasional September nights that stay unusually mild. Updated evening observations and any last model runs will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Denver on September 10 points to clear skies, light southerly flow, and overnight lows in the mid- to upper 50s, consistent with the 32% implied probability on the 54-55°F bin and supporting bins near 52-59°F. These conditions reflect typical early-September radiational cooling under high pressure, tempered by above-average daytime warmth that may limit how far temperatures drop before sunrise. Trader emphasis on the 70°F-or-higher outcome at 47.5% appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer mixing and wind forecasts that could keep the minimum elevated, alongside historical precedent for occasional September nights that stay unusually mild. Updated evening observations and any last model runs will likely refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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