**Cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C for Taipei’s daily maximum on September 10.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models show a peak near 27–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–60% rain probability, limiting surface heating despite September’s climatological baseline near 31°C. High humidity and light easterly flow further moderate temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. The tight spread between the 30°C (42%) and 31°C (32.5%) contracts reflects uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or brief sun breaks may occur before sunset, with lower-probability tails for 29°C or 32°C capturing model spread and potential urban-heat-island effects at the official station. Hourly observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term data release that can shift implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on September 10?
30°C 42%
31°C 32%
29°C 20%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
20%
30°C
42%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 42%
31°C 32%
29°C 20%
32°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
20%
30°C
42%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate northeast winds are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around 30–31°C for Taipei’s daily maximum on September 10.** Official Central Weather Administration guidance and multiple numerical models show a peak near 27–30°C under mostly cloudy skies with 30–60% rain probability, limiting surface heating despite September’s climatological baseline near 31°C. High humidity and light easterly flow further moderate temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling and reducing insolation. The tight spread between the 30°C (42%) and 31°C (32.5%) contracts reflects uncertainty in exactly how much afternoon clearing or brief sun breaks may occur before sunset, with lower-probability tails for 29°C or 32°C capturing model spread and potential urban-heat-island effects at the official station. Hourly observations through the afternoon will be the key near-term data release that can shift implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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