**Incoming cooler air from the north is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around 19–23°C for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum.** Official and ensemble forecasts show a sharp drop from prior 30°C+ highs as a cold front advances, with model runs projecting overnight lows near 19–21°C under increasing cloud cover and light rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity (60–70%) and southwest winds around 10–15 km/h further moderate the drop, while historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–22°C. Slight disagreements among models on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread between the 21°C/23°C and sub-20°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent NWP updates heavily as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
19°C or below 45%
20°C 45%
22°C 27%
24°C <1%
19°C or below
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
48%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
19°C or below 45%
20°C 45%
22°C 27%
24°C <1%
19°C or below
45%
20°C
45%
21°C
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
48%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cooler air from the north is the main driver behind current Polymarket odds clustering around 19–23°C for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum.** Official and ensemble forecasts show a sharp drop from prior 30°C+ highs as a cold front advances, with model runs projecting overnight lows near 19–21°C under increasing cloud cover and light rain that limits radiative cooling. High humidity (60–70%) and southwest winds around 10–15 km/h further moderate the drop, while historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 20–22°C. Slight disagreements among models on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the tight spread between the 21°C/23°C and sub-20°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent NWP updates heavily as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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