**Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise, the Coalition Avenir Québec candidate, leads trader pricing at 73.5% for the La Prairie riding in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, followed by Parti Québécois nominee Frédéric Côté at 23.5%, with Liberal Sonia Ziadé and Québec solidaire’s Francine van Winden trailing at 4.5% and 0.3%.** The riding’s recent history favors the CAQ, which captured over 52% in 2022 under retiring incumbent Christian Dubé. Current 338Canada projections as of early September 2026 show the CAQ maintaining a substantial edge in the district, consistent with the party’s broader standing ahead of the vote called in late August. Guillot-Hurtubise’s background in public affairs, negotiation, and community relations aligns with typical CAQ strengths in suburban Montérégie ridings. Côté represents the primary opposition challenge for the PQ, yet projections and market pricing indicate limited headway against the incumbent party’s positioning. Other listed outcomes at 50% appear to reflect placeholder or non-viable entries rather than active contenders. No major riding-specific developments in the past 30 days have materially altered the competitive landscape beyond the general election timeline and candidate nominations.