Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 11?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 11?
37°C 45%
38°C or higher 29%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
24%
37°C
45%
38°C or higher
29%
37°C 45%
38°C or higher 29%
36°C 24%
35°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Sep 11, 2026
28°C or below
$345 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$265 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$92 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C
$65 Vol.
3%
35°C
$54 Vol.
5%
36°C
$215 Vol.
24%
37°C
$521 Vol.
45%
38°C or higher
$522 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,564Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,564Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 36–37°C for Jeddah on September 11, aligning with the market's emphasis on 37°C at 43% implied probability. Typical September maximums average 37–38°C under the region's arid subtropical climate, driven by persistent high pressure, low humidity, and Red Sea moisture advection that limits extreme deviations. Current conditions show stable steering patterns with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping intensification unlikely. Model spreads introduce modest upside risk for 38°C or higher (28%), while downside to 36°C (24.5%) reflects potential for slightly stronger onshore flow. Traders weigh these near-term observational updates against historical September ranges of 35–39°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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